Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.024697 0.026823 0.029045 0.031544 0.034277 0.037176 0.040487
2025-07-27 0.021221 0.024287 0.027678 0.031712 0.036388 0.041648 0.048027
2025-08-03 0.018756 0.022308 0.026400 0.031477 0.037625 0.044851 0.054024
2025-08-10 0.017223 0.021134 0.025795 0.031779 0.039290 0.048448 0.060522
2025-08-17 0.015683 0.019758 0.024753 0.031357 0.039905 0.050657 0.065306
2025-08-24 0.014361 0.018516 0.023737 0.030821 0.040241 0.052427 0.069522
2025-08-31 0.013345 0.017570 0.023002 0.030546 0.040832 0.054483 0.074160
2025-09-07 0.012481 0.016752 0.022357 0.030313 0.041414 0.056500 0.078802
2025-09-14 0.011752 0.016058 0.021819 0.030163 0.042061 0.058595 0.083626
2025-09-21 0.011031 0.015324 0.021172 0.029802 0.042357 0.060173 0.087754
2025-09-28 0.010532 0.014865 0.020870 0.029896 0.043284 0.062672 0.093347
2025-10-05 0.010029 0.014368 0.020479 0.029824 0.043944 0.064787 0.098456
2025-10-12 0.009568 0.013926 0.020172 0.029898 0.044885 0.067469 0.104773
2025-10-19 0.009168 0.013554 0.019949 0.030088 0.046021 0.070529 0.111923
2025-10-26 0.008694 0.013042 0.019483 0.029871 0.046496 0.072570 0.117545
2025-11-02 0.008386 0.012764 0.019351 0.030156 0.047770 0.075932 0.125548
2025-11-09 0.007939 0.012243 0.018813 0.029758 0.047902 0.077433 0.130482
2025-11-16 0.007501 0.011713 0.018232 0.029251 0.047813 0.078543 0.134788
2025-11-23 0.007151 0.011304 0.017818 0.028991 0.048112 0.080305 0.140331
2025-11-30 0.006834 0.010932 0.017444 0.028771 0.048457 0.082149 0.146121
2025-12-07 0.006554 0.010607 0.017129 0.028630 0.048921 0.084214 0.152432
2025-12-14 0.006254 0.010232 0.016712 0.028289 0.049008 0.085602 0.157553
2025-12-21 0.006054 0.010016 0.016549 0.028377 0.049858 0.088401 0.165523